Tuesday, December 01, 2020
HERE IS THE EVIDENCE
QUOTE:
Due to the irregularity of this current 2020 Presidential Election, this is a crowdsourcing tool for organizing anomalies and legal issues. Our desire is that more of the election process would be made transparent so there would be unquestionable confidence in our voting systems.
This is for aggregating publicly available items of evidence that would be admissible in court, not general election news stories or updates.
Monday, November 30, 2020
Anomalies in Vote Counts and Their Effects on Election 2020
A Quantitative Analysis of Decisive Vote Updates in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia on and after Election Night
Executive Summary
In the early hours of November 4th, 2020, Democratic candidate Joe Biden received several major “vote spikes” that substantially — and decisively — improved his electoral position in Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia. Much skepticism and uncertainty surrounds these “vote spikes.” Critics point to suspicious vote counting practices, extreme differences between the two major candidates’ vote counts, and the timing of the vote updates, among other factors, to cast doubt on the legitimacy of some of these spikes. While data analysis cannot on its own demonstrate fraud or systemic issues, it can point us to statistically anomalous cases that invite further scrutiny.
This is one such case: Our analysis finds that a few key vote updates in competitive states were unusually large in size and had an unusually high Biden-to-Trump ratio. We demonstrate the results differ enough from expected results to be cause for concern.
With this report, we rely only on publicly available data from the New York Times to identify and analyze statistical anomalies in key states. Looking at 8,954 individual vote updates (differences in vote totals for each candidate between successive changes to the running vote totals, colloquially also referred to as “dumps” or “batches”), we discover a remarkably consistent mathematical property: there is a clear inverse relationship between difference in candidates’ vote counts and and the ratio of the vote counts. (In other words, it's not surprising to see vote updates with large margins, and it's not surprising to see vote updates with very large ratios of support between the candidates, but it is surprising to see vote updates which are both).
The significance of this property will be further explained in later sections of this report. Nearly every vote update, across states of all sizes and political leanings follow this statistical pattern. A very small number, however, are especially aberrant. Of the seven vote updates which follow the pattern the least, four individual vote updates — two in Michigan, one in Wisconsin, and one in Georgia — were particularly anomalous and influential with respect to this property and all occurred within the same five hour window.
In particular, we are able to quantify the extent of compliance with this property and discover that, of the 8,954 vote updates used in the analysis, these four decisive updates were the 1st, 2nd, 4th, and 7th most anomalous updates in the entire data set. Not only does each of these vote updates not follow the generally observed pattern, but the anomalous behavior of these updates is particularly extreme. That is, these vote updates are outliers of the outliers.
The four vote updates in question are:
1. An update in Michigan listed as of 6:31AM Eastern Time on November 4th, 2020, which shows 141,258 votes for Joe Biden and 5,968 votes for Donald Trump
2. An update in Wisconsin listed as 3:42AM Central Time on November 4th, 2020, which shows 143,379 votes for Joe Biden and 25,163 votes for Donald Trump
3. A vote update in Georgia listed at 1:34AM Eastern Time on November 4th, 2020, which shows 136,155 votes for Joe Biden and 29,115 votes for Donald Trump
4. An update in Michigan listed as of 3:50AM Eastern Time on November 4th, 2020, which shows 54,497 votes for Joe Biden and 4,718 votes for Donald Trump
This report predicts what these vote updates would have looked like, had they followed the same pattern as the vast majority of the 8,950 others. We find that the extents of the respective anomalies here are more than the margin of victory in all three states — Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia — which collectively represent forty-two electoral votes.
Extensive mathematical detail is provided and the data and the code (for the data-curation, data transformation, plotting, and modeling) are all attached in the appendixto this document[1].
Read the whole thing at: https://votepatternanalysis.substack.com/p/voting-anomalies-2020
Sunday, November 29, 2020
Goodbye, LinkedIn!
We’ve closed your account.
Your LinkedIn account is now closed. Although you no longer have access to it, it’ll take a few weeks for your public profile to disappear from search engines.
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I won't be censored.
Saturday, November 28, 2020
Friday, November 27, 2020
Quitting LinkedIn Due To Censorship
Unsatisfactory response from LinkedIn to my appeal of their unjustified post blocking.
In my opinion, their response was just plain unresponsive--no reasons, no evidence, no answers to my questions, no explanation of the process of adjudication.
Of course, no names of any responsible person.
Absolutely unreasonable, unfair, arbitrary, and apparently dishonest in my opinion.
The original suspension indicates to me that I may have been defamed by someone on LinkedIn without have had a chance to respond. I guess I'll never know what the basis of the charge was, nor how it was adjudicated.
No justice.
So looks like I'll be quitting LinkedIn, due to censorship:
Is this the USA or USSR?
It is just unbelievable to someone who grew up in the United States of America that in the last few days because of censorship of criticism of the Biden Campaign, I have had to quit Twitter, quit my column for TheLatest.com, and had a post banned on LinkedIn.
Literally unprecedented. Never happened to me before. Ever.
So, I have joined Gab and Parler and MeWe and Rumble.
I am glad they are there to provide safe harbors...but never in a million years thought that the USA would become a country that permits political persecution of dissent with approval of the national press, major corporations, educational, cultural and religious institutions--and apparently with cooperation of federal, state and local governments.
If this is happening to a very small fry like me, it is happening to everyone.
Chilling foreshadowing of repression to come, unless President Trump by some miracle is able to stop it.
Thursday, November 26, 2020
Return of Hillary's "Inevitability" Campaign...for "Pretender-in-Chief" Joe Biden
I'm working on a longer article about this, but just wanted to note here that it seems to me that in 2016 Hillary Clinton used an "inevitability" campaign to try and get elected, with support from the media.
The idea was that the public would see her victory as inevitable, and so accept her taking office, even if there were some questions.
Lots of stories ran that it was mathematically impossible for President Trump to win the Electoral College and that Hillary would be the inevitable winner--to the point where she booked the Javits Center to celebrate "breaking the glass ceiling." Indeed, I still remember Judy Woodruff dressed in white appearing on PBS with Nancy Pelosi to say that Hillary Clinton had won election as first woman President.
None of it was true.
Sadly, no one was punished for that Big Lie. So they appear to be using the same strategy again for Joe Biden.
So now, despite obvious signs that Biden lost the 2020 Election "Bigly," the Biden Campaign and media are repeating the same strategy used by Hillary, except during the post-election phase...because they have sabotaged the vote-counting.
Instead of booking the Javits Center, the Biden Campaign has bullied the Trump Administration to allow them to open a "Transition" office in a GSA building. The media is once again saying the Democrat won, although all the genuine votes have not been counted and litigation is ongoing. News media refuse to report on the election dispute and call Biden "President-Elect," although he is not.
Because there are only two constitutional methods for someone to become a bona fide President-Elect: the loser concedes or the Electoral College certifies him.
Neither has happened yet.
At this point, Fake News is flat-out lying on behalf of a Fake "Pretender-in-Chief."
Will come back to this issue later as events transpire in this regard...
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